Tuesday, May 29, 2012

Lesson 4, Basic of technical analysis


Before you learn about chart patterns, technical indicators, scanners and all the fancy tools on your trading platform, you need to learn the basic of technical analysis. So today I am going to talk about support and resistance level. But before going into that, I would like to give you an idea on why technical analysis works. You might have heard people talking about charts like “the chart is breaking out” or “it’s at support level and should be a good entry here” or “it’s just crossed 50-day moving average so it will go up!” How does this work? And why stocks do what people think they will. A simple answer to this is, it’s a self-fulfilling prophecy! The more people use technical analysis, the more stocks will react to that. When people see something on the chart, they react on it base on what they have learnt (about technical analysis). All traders have learnt the same thing, thus pushing the price of a stock into particular direction. That’s a simple explanation and that’s the reason why YOU should learn and use technical analysis too.

Okay, so what’s the definition of support and resistance? (Ps. my definition)

Support: Refers to a certain level where stocks could not move lower when trading at that level, and eventually will move up and away from that level.

Resistance: Refers to a certain level where stocks couldn’t move higher when trading at that level, and eventually will move down and away from that level.

A break: This refers to when support or resistance level has been broken. For example, when trading at support level and a stock keep moving down and pass that level (breakdown). Or when a stock approaches resistance level then keep moving up and breaks that level (breakout).

Another rule on this: once the support breakdown it becomes resistance. And once the resistance breakout, it becomes support.
So below are some charts and example of support and resistance. PS. S:support, R:resistance.

I meant to say S breakdown on the far right arrow

















































Above is Research in Motion Ltd. (RIMM) and it's a quiz for you to practice this simple concept.
Red arrows: ?
Yellow arrows: ?
Blue arrows: ?

*Please be inform that all the lines I drew are just for educational purposes and they don't represent all the support and resistance levels on the charts. There also can have temporary support/resistance, intraday support/resistance, and other support/resistance levels that didn't show on the charts.

Have a great day and happy trading :)